Research in IEEE Big Data Conference 2024

Nov 1, 2024·
Sean Chiang
Sean Chiang
· 1 min read
Financial Time Series Generative Models
Abstract
This research paper focuses on improving the data quality of financial time series generative models. By addressing the challenges of synthetic data generation in quantitative finance, this work introduces novel approaches to enhance the fidelity and utility of artificially generated financial time series data for testing, validation, and research purposes.
Type
Publication
IEEE Big Data Conference 2024

Research Overview

This research paper addresses the significant challenges in generating high-quality synthetic financial time series data. Financial markets exhibit unique characteristics—non-stationarity, regime changes, and complex correlations—that make traditional generative models insufficient for creating realistic synthetic data.

Key Innovations

Our approach introduces several key innovations:

  1. Regime-Aware Generation: A novel architecture that explicitly models different market regimes (bull, bear, high volatility) and transitions between them
  2. Preservation of Statistical Properties: Techniques to ensure generated data maintains critical statistical properties of financial time series
  3. Multi-Resolution Temporal Dependencies: Capturing dependencies across multiple time scales (short-term, medium-term, long-term)
  4. Reality Metrics: New evaluation metrics specifically designed for financial time series data quality assessment

Applications

The improved generative models enable:

  • More robust backtesting of trading strategies
  • Enhanced risk management through more realistic stress testing scenarios
  • Better training data for machine learning models in finance
  • Privacy-preserving data sharing for collaborative research

Future Directions

Our ongoing work focuses on incorporating additional market factors and expanding the model to handle multi-asset correlations and alternative data sources.